Wednesday, July 29, 2009

So, about that repeal of Prop8....

Reported in the SF Chronicle last weekend, the No-on-8 campaigns are organizing for 2010. Maybe.

As I've commented here many times, it's beyond time for these guys to get themselves together. EQ-CA and Courage Campaign and others are all working on this. The energy is good, but what is not good is seeing 3 or 4 different booths at the pride parade which argues lack of coordination.

As the Chron says
Oh, yeah. And they still need a leader. And a leadership structure. And a decision-making process.

With that in mind, here's a juicy rumor for you: Would President Obama confidante Steve Hildebrand be interested in coming out to California to lead the next same sex marriage ballot iniative campaign?
"The Courage Campaign proposes these four principles for a campaign to win marriage equality:

1) Our campaign to win must begin now, regardless of when we put marriage equality on the ballot.
2) To unite the strength of activists across California, the campaign must be independent, accountable, and not dominated by any one organization.
3) To gain the trust and full commitment of supporters, the campaign needs a representative and functional governance structure.
4) Victory on election day requires a strong, experienced campaign manager who knows California well and has won battles like this before. Our opposition is well-organized, and we need exceptional leadership on our side to prevail."

So as I reported a while ago, some parts of the movement are suggesting we wait till 2012. The NY Times explains:
Under California law, language for a 2010 proposition would need to be submitted to the secretary of state by late September, and then some 700,000 signatures gathered to qualify for the ballot.

Opponents of the 2010 campaign say that window is simply too small to change the opinions of enough voters to win, including groups in which Proposition 8 was popular, like African-Americans, religious conservatives and the elderly.

“What we’ve learned is that yes, you can change hearts and minds, but it takes time, focused energy, and money,” said Matt Foreman, the program director of the Evelyn and Walter Haas Jr. Fund, a frequent donor to gay rights causes. “And once a measure is on the ballot and the campaign begins, its almost impossible to change anyone’s mind, because people are being bombarded with lies.”

I'm going to make a bet with you, based on these articles and the continuing lack of a real organization or fundraising. I'm going to bet this will not be on the ballot again till 2012. And as frustrating as I find that, I think that it would be a disaster to run another awful campaign. And I'm not seeing anything stronger in the offing.

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